Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#177
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#176
Pace66.8#200
Improvement-1.9#260

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#227
Improvement-0.2#193

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#145
Improvement-1.7#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2013 275   Tennessee Tech W 72-62 78%     1 - 0 +1.0 -3.6 +4.8
  Nov 12, 2013 333   Bethune-Cookman W 91-65 91%     2 - 0 +10.2 -1.8 +8.8
  Nov 15, 2013 201   @ Bowling Green W 75-61 44%     3 - 0 +14.5 +9.3 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2013 337   Stetson W 72-63 92%     4 - 0 -7.3 -4.9 -1.9
  Nov 25, 2013 15   Oklahoma St. L 67-93 12%     4 - 1 -13.9 -3.5 -9.1
  Nov 30, 2013 191   Detroit Mercy L 60-65 63%     4 - 2 -9.4 -13.9 +4.5
  Dec 04, 2013 137   @ George Mason W 68-66 29%     5 - 2 +6.8 -3.0 +9.7
  Dec 07, 2013 86   Alabama W 66-64 34%     6 - 2 +5.4 +2.2 +3.4
  Dec 17, 2013 189   Florida Gulf Coast W 68-66 2OT 62%     7 - 2 -2.2 -12.2 +9.8
  Dec 19, 2013 302   Florida A&M W 73-70 85%     8 - 2 -9.0 -0.5 -8.4
  Dec 22, 2013 192   Mississippi St. L 66-71 53%     8 - 3 -6.7 -7.7 +1.2
  Dec 23, 2013 152   Santa Clara L 65-66 42%     8 - 4 +0.1 -4.4 +4.4
  Dec 28, 2013 199   @ Bradley W 61-57 44%     9 - 4 +4.6 -4.9 +9.9
  Dec 31, 2013 36   Memphis L 73-88 19%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -6.7 +0.6 -6.4
  Jan 04, 2014 127   Houston L 58-67 47%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -9.1 -17.8 +8.7
  Jan 09, 2014 146   @ Temple W 82-75 31%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +11.3 +5.4 +5.7
  Jan 15, 2014 32   @ SMU L 54-71 8%     10 - 7 1 - 3 -2.5 -6.7 +3.4
  Jan 18, 2014 26   Cincinnati L 54-61 14%     10 - 8 1 - 4 +3.5 -3.4 +6.1
  Jan 22, 2014 1   Louisville L 47-86 4%     10 - 9 1 - 5 -19.4 -12.1 -10.1
  Jan 26, 2014 36   @ Memphis L 58-80 9%     10 - 10 1 - 6 -8.1 -7.1 -1.0
  Jan 28, 2014 32   SMU W 78-71 18%     11 - 10 2 - 6 +16.0 +10.9 +5.0
  Feb 02, 2014 26   @ Cincinnati L 45-50 7%     11 - 11 2 - 7 +11.1 -3.2 +12.9
  Feb 05, 2014 148   @ Central Florida W 79-78 OT 31%     12 - 11 3 - 7 +5.2 +10.6 -5.4
  Feb 08, 2014 166   Rutgers L 69-79 57%     12 - 12 3 - 8 -12.7 -6.9 -5.7
  Feb 12, 2014 25   @ Connecticut L 40-83 6%     12 - 13 3 - 9 -26.8 -21.8 -5.5
  Feb 15, 2014 148   Central Florida L 74-75 52%     12 - 14 3 - 10 -2.4 +5.7 -8.1
  Feb 18, 2014 1   @ Louisville L 54-80 2%     12 - 15 3 - 11 -0.8 -4.1 +2.5
  Feb 26, 2014 25   Connecticut L 56-61 14%     12 - 16 3 - 12 +5.6 -1.2 +6.2
  Mar 01, 2014 166   @ Rutgers L 73-74 36%     12 - 17 3 - 13 +1.9 +6.8 -5.0
  Mar 04, 2014 127   @ Houston L 69-78 27%     12 - 18 3 - 14 -3.5 +1.0 -5.1
  Mar 08, 2014 146   Temple L 65-66 51%     12 - 19 3 - 15 -2.3 -12.9 +10.6
  Mar 12, 2014 166   Rutgers L 68-72 46%     12 - 20 -3.9 -9.2 +5.5
Projected Record 12.0 - 20.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%